Richard Melson

July 2006

CFG Perspective on Tomorrow

The CFG Perspective Applied to Tomorow

We have seen in "CFG Intro," "About CFG," and "CFG Today," featured on the website, that the world system is "stumbling" towards a world economy driven by Third World development and not American-lead Western consumption.

The world is of course not a person or living thing and cannot "stumble" in a normal sense, since the world has a body politic but not a body.

By "stumble" we mean that the "actors" in the world are themselves only dimly aware of where they are and what they are presiding over and many of them—we call this Zionomics and Judeocentrism—hope to achieve the exact opposite of what we predict, which is precisely why Iraq came to be invaded.

This is of course a case of "unintended consequences" on a macrohistorical scale.

We are not implying any of the following theories:

1. "the long run always wins in the end" (in the way that the great French historian Ferdinand Braudel argues in his "Mediterranean," Volume II)

   2. the world finds a way to go from sub-optimal pathways to optimal ones…ie the world is a "discovery process" that finds a maximal path.

3. "the basic trend of history is always up," as Franklin Roosevelt used to say in his 1940’s speeches.

What then do we mean?

We mean that current American elites will ultimately "go with the money" and that the current bloodshed is an adolescent "American tantrum and rampage" but that at the end of this mayhem, America will "jump ship," and begin to leave Judeocentrism and Zionomics on the backburner and get into "developmentalism" since Bush militarism is developmental and not anti-developmental, which is fundamentally the neo-con/Israel agenda.

The Japanese call this syndrome, "same bed, different dreams."

Developmentalism will involve intensive Western coordination and negotiations with Arabs, Muslims, OPEC and will move Islamic finance and Islamic banking from the periphery of world policy and practice more towards the center.

The BIS (Bank for International Settlements) Geneva, for example,  is now intensively exploring Islamic banking and finance and this is a "straw in the wind" that tells you about "tomorrow."

Blocking all such West/Third World "re-linking" is of course the Palestine problem, which is the microcosm of the world's current "traffic jam" or impasse.

January 2006

See the main CFG website:

http://WWW.CAMBRIDGEFORECAST.ORG