Richard Melson

January 2006

Jane’s Intelligence Digest

http://jid.janes.com/public/jid/index.shtml

L A T E S T  A R T I C L E S:

Iran: running out of options
When Iran removed the 52 seals applied by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) to its Pilot Fuel Enrichment Plant (PFEP) at Natanz on 10 ...
18-Jan-2006


INTELLIGENCE POINTERS - Russia alleges espionage by Estonia
Relations between Russia and Estonia are under increased strain following the arrest of a Russian national on charges of military espionage. The man, who was ...
18-Jan-2006


INTELLIGENCE POINTERS - More allegations of Chinese industrial espionage
South Korea's National Intelligence Service (NIS) has alleged that former employees of Korean electronics giant Samsung were involved in a scheme to set up a ...
18-Jan-2006


Egypt and the Muslim Brotherhood
The Muslim Brotherhood's political advance in last month's Egyptian parliamentary elections will pose fresh challenges, not only to Egypt and the Arab world, but also ...
18-Jan-2006


Editor's notes
The fallout from the apparent US air strike launched on 13 January against suspected terrorists in the Bajaur region of Pakistan is likely to go ...
18-Jan-2006


INTELLIGENCE POINTERS - Uzbek activist jailed
A leading critic of the Uzbek regime has recently been sentenced to seven years' imprisonment following a secret trial. Saidjahon Zainabiddinov was an eyewitness to ...
18-Jan-2006


Further JID forecasts for 2006
In the second of our annual series of geopolitical assessments for 2006, JID's regional correspondents have contributed the following forecasts. Pakistan Although there is ...
11-Jan-2006


Ukraine's prospects in 2006
One year into Viktor Yushchenko's presidency and ahead of crucial parliamentary elections scheduled for 26 March, the Orange Revolution coalition is divided as Ukraine faces ...
11-Jan-2006


INTELLIGENCE POINTERS - Hamas and the Palestinian poll
With elections for the Palestinian Legislative Council scheduled to take place on 25 January, there is rising concern over the prospect that the Islamic Resistance ...
11-Jan-2006


Editor's notes
The open conflict between Moscow and Kiev over gas supplies may have been resolved - at a political cost for the Ukrainian government - but ...
11-Jan-2006


INTELLIGENCE POINTERS - More allegations over Chinese 'spying'
Amid mounting concern over China's alleged foreign espionage activity, further suspected cases have come to light. One concerns the apparent targeting of Muslims from China ...
11-Jan-2006


Nuclear security in 2006
In its final report issued in December 2005, the US Public Discourse Project criticised the US administration and Congress for acting too slowly to secure ...
05-Jan-2006


Ukraine's prospects in 2006
One year into Viktor Yushchenko's presidency and ahead of crucial parliamentary elections scheduled for 26 March, the Orange Revolution coalition is divided. JID's Ukraine correspondent ...
05-Jan-2006


INTELLIGENCE POINTERS - Belarus surrenders oil pipeline to Moscow
Amid the row between Russia and Ukraine over Gazprom's unilateral hike in gas prices, a recent decision by the authorities in Belarus to hand over ...
04-Jan-2006


Nuclear proliferation in 2005: Iran
The two key threats to international security remain global terrorism and the risk of further nuclear proliferation in the so-called 'rogue states'. We asked our ...
04-Jan-2006


INTELLIGENCE POINTERS - Tension over 'terrorist attack' in India
New Delhi has stepped up its criticism of what Indian government officials claim is Pakistan's failure to prevent terrorist groups from crossing its border with ...
04-Jan-2006


JID forecasts for 2006
Each year JID asks its top analysts and correspondents to forecast the key intelligence and security concerns for the coming year. Here is the first ...
04-Jan-2006


Editor's notes
The latest political and economic row between Russia and Ukraine over a price hike for the supply of gas has raised further questions about the ...
04-Jan-2006


Assad's regime stunned by defection
It has not been a happy start to 2006 for the regime in Damascus. On 30 December, President Bashar al-Assad's former deputy publicly alleged that ...
04-Jan-2006


US tracks Bin Laden's 'chemist'
The US military command in Iraq released two of Saddam Hussein's most notorious biological weapons specialists on 17 December. The duo were among more than ...
30-Dec-2005


The challenge of Muslim Brotherhood
By winning 88 seats in Egypt's 454-member parliament despite heavy odds and continued state repression, the Muslim Brotherhood (which remains officially banned, but whose candidates ...
30-Dec-2005


Maritime terrorism: a JID special report
Both Khalid Sheik Mohammed, the alleged architect of the 11 September 2001 attacks, and Abd al-Rahim al-Nashiri, the suspected mastermind behind the attack against the ...
30-Dec-2005


Nuclear proliferation in 2005
The two original 'Axis of Evil' nations, Iran and North Korea, dominated concerns over nuclear proliferation in 2005. However, by the end of the year ...
29-Dec-2005


More bloodshed in Beirut
Amid rising political tensions in Lebanon following the assassination earlier this week of Gibran Tueni, a leading Lebanese critic of the Syrian regime, pressure on ...
14-Dec-2005


'Missing' plutonium in spotlight
A report in late November claiming that at least 270 kg of weapons-grade plutonium had gone missing from the US's premier nuclear weapons laboratory at ...
14-Dec-2005


INTELLIGENCE POINTERS - Mixed signals over Russian NGO row
International pressure over the Russian government's plan to crack down on non-governmental organisations (NGOs) in Russia by forcing them to re-register and through blocking foreign ...
14-Dec-2005


INTELLIGENCE POINTERS - Danish intelligence service warning
Denmark's Defence Intelligence Service (DDIS) has published its first ever public annual report analysing various security threats. In the document, issued earlier this week, but ...
14-Dec-2005


Italian intelligence under pressure
As the US administration grapples with both mounting criticism of the war in Iraq and a series of political scandals that reach into the upper ...
14-Dec-2005


Editor's notes
At a time when the threat posed by international terrorist groups has never been greater, predictive analysis - based on reliable intelligence and prepared by ...
14-Dec-2005


Kosovo: keeping the peace?
Five-and-a-half years on from the deployment of UN peacekeepers in Kosovo in 1999, the province appears to be at risk of destabilising as political pressures ...
07-Dec-2005


Building trust with North Korea
Since North Korea agreed in September to suspend its nuclear programmes "in principle" in return for economic and energy assistance, greater international recognition and improved ...
07-Dec-2005


Hunting for India's 'most wanted'
US intelligence and security services have stepped up their hunt for one of the world's most wanted fugitives, Indian Dawood Ibrahim, who was designated a ...
07-Dec-2005


INTELLIGENCE POINTERS - Russia-Ukraine gas row intensifies
A failure to resolve the continuing disagreement between Russian energy giant Gazprom and its Ukrainian counterpart Naftogaz Ukrainy has led Ukrainian President Viktor Yushchenko to ...
07-Dec-2005


Editor's notes
On 9 December, Russia's parliament, the Duma, will again vote on draft legislation aimed at introducing new legal controls on the activities and funding of ...
07-Dec-2005


INTELLIGENCE POINTERS - Afghanistan in focus
Concerns over the state of the Afghan economy, particularly a lack of electricity and the risk that opium poppy cultivation is likely to increase in ...
07-Dec-2005

Jane's Intelligence Digest

January 2006