Richard Melson
December 2004
MUSLIM WORLD INITIATIVE




News
from the United States Institute of Peace Muslim World Initiative |
The Muslim World Initiative is a major integrative effort to promote peace and stability in the Muslim World through enhanced U.S engagement. In order to learn more about the Initiative, please go to
http://www.usip.org/muslimworld.This Month's Contents:
Introduction from Abdeslam Maghraoui, Associate Director of Research and Studies
Recent Event: Transatlantic Cooperation on Democracy Promotion in the Middle East
Recent U.S. Institute of Peace Publications related to the Muslim World
Muslim World Experts at the U.S. Institute of Peace
Introduction
Promoting democracy in the Muslim world through political, economic,
judiciary, and educational reforms is a top priority of the Muslim World Initiative.
Despite political and philosophical differences about what democracy actually means and
how best to achieve it, a solid consensus is emerging in the United States, Europe, and
within civil society in the Arab and Muslim worlds, that authoritarian politics is no
longer an acceptable option.
Secretary of State Colin Powell and Treasury Secretary John Snow will travel to Morocco to
attend the first meeting of the Forum for the Future in Rabat December 10 and 11.
Representatives from the G8 (the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, France, Italy,
Japan, Russia, and Germany) and more than twenty Middle East and North African countries
are participating. Democratic reform in the Middle East and North Africa now ranks high on
the Transatlantic agenda. And despite sharp differences over Iraq and the Middle East
peace process, local democracy advocates want to see democracy triumph.
Yet the road to democracy in the Middle East and North Africa will be long and will
require diplomatic patience, political commitment, economic support, and above all
coherence. In order for democracy to succeed in the region, no other national or
international priority may be allowed to trump it.
Abdeslam Maghraoui
Associate Director
Muslim World Initiative
***************
Transatlantic Cooperation on Democracy Promotion
in the Middle East
U.S. Institute of Peace-FRIDE Workshop
Thursday, November 18, 2004
Key Conclusions: 10 Recommendations for Enhanced Cooperation
On November 18, 2004, the U.S. Institute of Peace and the Fundación
para las Relaciones Internacionales y el Diálogo Exterior (FRIDE) co-sponsored a workshop
in Brussels devoted to enhancing transatlantic cooperation on Middle East democracy
promotion. The workshop assembled 25 American and European policy makers, analysts, and
practitioners to brainstorm ideas for how to improve cooperation on promoting reform in
the Middle East. The workshop was organized into three principal sessions. The first
session, "Taking Stock," focused on assessing current US-EU approaches and
initiatives. The second session, "The Road Not Taken," explored other strategies
and approaches for democracy promotion not being pursued. The final session concentrated
on developing concrete policy recommendations on improving cooperation between the US and
the EU. The workshop managed to move beyond general discussion of the transatlantic
relationship to focus on how to operationalize specific reform oriented strategies.
Workshop discussions yielded important recommendations for enhancing transatlantic
cooperation on Middle East democracy promotion.
Background: As both the United States and the European Union intensify their
democracy promotion activities in the Middle East, it is clearly desirable to explore ways
to enhance transatlantic cooperation. In the wake of the U.S. presidential elections and
with the arrival of a new team of European Commissioners, an opportune moment has arrived
to review the progress that has been made and assess how best to move forward. The Broader
Middle East and North Africa Initiative (BMEI) unveiled at the June 2004 G-8 summit marked
an important step forward in this regard. Indeed, transatlantic cooperation on Middle East
democracy promotion has advanced further than many expected at the June 2004 G-8 Summit.
Important steps have already taken place to improve communication/coordination between the
United States and its European allies. For example, under a new agreement, representatives
from US and EU missions in the region will meet quarterly to compare notes on the progress
of reform, best practices, etc. In addition, a semi-annual dialogue between Washington and
Brussels will be initiated to discuss broader policy issues. A series of working level
digital video conferences between Washington and Brussels has brought together officials
from the EU, State Department and the Agency for International Development to discuss
related programs and projects, and information gathering is taking place at the
operational level with regard to which groups are being funded by US and EU donors. Arab
reform is establishing itself as an agenda item in senior level EU-US meetings.
At the same time, many areas are ripe for enhanced cooperation. While transatlantic
communication on Middle East reform has improved, specific details on how to move the
reform agenda forward remain vague. Further dialogue between Americans and Europeans on
how to promote Middle East democracy in a concrete and realistic way is needed.
Specifically, participants identified several areas that merit further exploration. These
include: the role of positive conditionality (providing rewards for demonstrable progress
on reform), the potential to for an enhanced policy dialogue, and the benefit of sharing
analysis and anticipating key areas for future coordination. Indeed, important upcoming
milestones (e.g., Palestinian elections (January 2005) and Egyptian elections (November
2005)) in the region might offer key opportunities for greater U.S.-European cooperation.
Key recommendations follow:
1. Enhance the policy dialogue. The coordination of strategic objectives and
greater cooperation on operational issues are important but not sufficient for improving
transatlantic cooperation. The middle ground where strategic and operational issues
intersect is critical. As such, the policy dialogue between the U.S. and the E.U. should
be further enhanced. An ongoing transatlantic dialogue on policy would provide an
important opportunity to discuss complex questions relating to the sequencing of reform
processes in the Middle East. It was agreed that the aim of supporting political reform
needs to be broken down into more operational issues of concern, assisting clear agreement
on what kind of change is actually desired.
2. Identify shared interests and objectives. In a related recommendation,
participants stressed the need for the US and the EU to identify and prioritize shared
goals with respect to Middle East reform. Specifically, a transatlantic policy dialogue
should strive to find the countries and areas where both the US and the EU are willing to
push reform. Once these areas are identified, the US and EU can at a minimum coordinate
diplomatic messages on identified issues. The US and the EU can then monitor these shared
areas of interest, tracking the progress of reform and how to improve outcomes. In support
of this, the US and EU should exchange analysis of developments in the region. Sharing
assessments of the reform process in various countries can assist officials on both sides
of the Atlantic by potentially insuring greater harmony in policy responses.
3. Coordinate more closely on messages. The US and the EU need to work harder to
insure they are "singing off the same sheet of music." Coordinated messages on
elections for example would be far more effective than contradictory messages, which can
be played off against one another as was shown recently in the case of the Tunisian
elections. Messages should be delivered separately, but reflect similar content and tone.
Upcoming elections in the Palestinian Authority, as well as in Egypt, offer excellent
opportunities to work together and insure a unified US and European response to these
events.
4. Develop more creative reform incentives. Workshop discussions yielded
significant transatlantic interest on the potential role of positive conditionality
with respect to promoting democratic reform. However, participants agreed that more
thinking needs to be done on devising more creative "carrots." Positive
incentives to induce reform need not only be increases in aid. For example, strategic
objectives, such as increased market access or Palestinian statehood, can be leveraged to
induce greater movement on democratic reform.
5. Synchronize positive conditionality. Beyond devising more creative incentives,
the US and the EU should work more closely together to coordinate the offer of those
incentives. Essentially, positive movement on reform in the region should be jointly
acknowledged, perhaps with incentives that are mutually reinforcing. The timing of such
decisions is also crucial. Once shared objectives and the broad outlines of
"benchmarks" for measuring success are identified (see above), the US and the EU
should coordinate on both the timing and substance of awarding incentives.
6. Develop key themes. Coordination could usefully be structured around more
concrete thematic challenges. There remains a need for different perceptions of the more
detailed elements of reform strategies to be explored. These include: the relationship of
good governance and institution-building support to broader political change; the role of
political parties, still an issue conspicuously under-addressed in Western strategies;
precise ways in which moderate Islamists might be included in EU and US initiatives; and
the question of how to promote security sector reform so as to enhance democratic
oversight of militaries.
7. Identify key upcoming events where US-EU coordination would be useful. Workshop
participants underscored the need to identify and coordinate responses to upcoming
milestones in the region. Specifically, they pointed to the inaugural meeting of the G-8
Forum for the Future, slated to take place in Morocco on December 11, 2004. G-8 members
should work to insure that members of civil society and the business community are
included in the meetings with government representatives from the region. Participants
also pointed to the Palestinian and Egyptian elections as important events for the US and
the EU to coordinate their response. Finally, the Middle East Peace Process would benefit
from enhanced US and EU involvement.
8. Include practitioners around the table. To date, those who actually implement
democratic reform projects are not included regularly in meetings between U.S. and
European officials. However, their point of view is extremely valuable and should be part
of any regular policy dialogue. Another venue, perhaps roundtable discussions, should be
established to allow for continued interactions between European and American policy
makers and practitioners.
9. Mitigate tensions in trade policies. Concern persists over bilateral trade
negotiations with select Arab states undermining efforts to promote democratic change
within regional frameworks. Coordination is needed to ensure that the EUs and
USs respective efforts to deepen trade relations with the region do not undercut the
political purchase sought by each actor.
10. Confront key challenges facing both sides of the Atlantic. Both the US and the
EU face key challenges in trying to improve transatlantic cooperation. The US must contend
with a severe credibility gap in the region, impacting its ability to promote reform in
the region as well as Europes willingness to work closely with the US in the region.
Europe, on the other hand, continues to face the challenge of speaking with one voice on
reform issues. Often, individual countries will issue their own pronouncements which
undermine shared EU and US goals.
Promoting Middle East Democracy: European Initiatives,
Ijtihad: Reinterpreting Islamic Principles for the
Twenty-first Century
Donor Activites and Civil Society Potential in Iraq
Post-Conflict Iraq: A Race for Stability, Reconstruction, and
Legitimacy
Establishing the Rule of Law in Afghanistan
Global Terrorism after the Iraq War
Islamist Politics in Iraq after Saddam Hussein
Healing the Holy Land: Interreligious Peacebuilding in
Israel/Palestine
***************
Muslim World Experts
The work of the Muslim World Initiative is being coordinated by Dr.
Abdeslam Maghraoui who joined the Institute in September 2004 as Associate Director of the
Research and Studies Program. Beyond Dr. Maghraoui, the Institute's expertise on the
Muslim World is extensive.
***************
the mailing list <muslimworldlist@list.usip.org>.
To unsubscribe, E-mail to: <muslimworldlist-off@list.usip.org>
Send administrative queries to <muslimworldlist-request@list.usip.org>
United States Institute of Peace
1200 17th Street NW - Washington, DC 20036
(202) 457-1700 (phone) - (202) 429-6063 (fax)
Jeannette Rankin Library Program
United States Institute of Peace
1200 17th Street, NW, Suite 200
Washington, D.C. 20036-3011
e-mail: library@usip.org
Current Board
J. Robinson West (Chair)
Chairman
PFC Energy
Washington, D.C.
María Otero (Vice Chair)
President
ACCION International
Boston, Mass.
Betty F. Bumpers
Founder and former President
Peace Links
Washington, D.C.
Holly J. Burkhalter
Advocacy Director
Physicians for Human Rights
Washington, D.C.
Chester A. Crocker
James R. Schlesinger Professor of Strategic Studies
School of Foreign Service
Georgetown University
Laurie S. Fulton
Williams and Connolly
Washington, D.C.
Charles Horner
Senior Fellow
Hudson Institute
Washington, D.C.
Stephen D. Krasner
Graham H. Stuart Professor of International Relations
Stanford University
Seymour Martin Lipset
Hazel Professor of Public Policy
George Mason University
Mora L. McLean
President
Africa-America Institute
New York, N.Y.
Daniel Pipes
Director
Middle East Forum
Philadelphia, Pa.
Barbara W. Snelling
Former State Senator and former Lieutenant Governor
Shelburne, Vt.
Members ex officio
Arthur E. Dewey
Assistant Secretary of State for Population, Refugees, and Migration
Michael M. Dunn
Lieutenant General, U.S. Air Force
President, National Defense University
Peter W. Rodman
Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs
Richard H. Solomon
President
United States Institute of Peace (nonvoting)